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The Shortlist Problem

Why enterprise technology decisions are effectively made before the RFP is written, and what that means for the firms competing to win them.

Key statistics

  • 71%

    of CIOs had settled their shortlist before issuing an RFP

    Evidence: Survey of 412 CIOs and IT directors, Q4 2025 (n=412, ±4.8% at 95% confidence)

  • 3.4

    vendors on the average final shortlist, down from 5.1 in 2023

    Evidence: 22decisions Buyer Panel, tracked across three annual waves (2023–2025)

  • 2 in 3

    leaders ranked a peer reference above any analyst rating

    Evidence: Forced-ranking question, 412 respondents; confirmed in 38 follow-up interviews

The decision happens early

Most enterprise technology purchases look competitive on paper. A formal RFP is issued, several vendors respond, and a scoring panel makes a recommendation. Our research suggests that, in the majority of cases, this process confirms a decision rather than making one.

Seven in ten CIOs told us their shortlist was settled before any formal document was written. The vendors who reached that shortlist did so through prior relationships, peer recommendation, and visible delivery track records in comparable organisations.

What buyers actually weigh

When we asked leaders to rank the inputs that shaped their final choice, peer references came first by a clear margin. Analyst rankings, vendor-commissioned case studies and conference presence ranked well below.

"By the time procurement is involved, I already know who I would be comfortable calling at two in the morning." — CIO, UK financial services

Implications for mid-sized services firms

Mid-sized IT services firms are not disadvantaged by scale in the way they often assume. Buyers repeatedly described choosing smaller partners because they could name the delivery team in advance and expected continuity of senior attention.

The full report sets out:

  • How shortlists form, stage by stage, across 14 purchase categories
  • Differences between US, UK and European buying committees
  • Twelve practical actions for firms seeking earlier inclusion

Methodology

Online survey of 412 CIOs, CTOs and IT directors at organisations with 1,000+ employees across the US (44%), UK (28%) and continental Europe (28%), fielded October–December 2025. Supplemented by 38 structured interviews. Results weighted by region and organisation size. Respondents received no vendor sponsorship and were not recruited from any vendor's customer list.

How we run our research

Written byVarun Shourie

Varun Shourie founded 22decisions after leading the India business at Forrester Research. He surveys and interviews technology leaders across the US, UK and Europe, and every figure 22decisions publishes is traceable to its sample.

About 22decisions

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Full findings, regional breakdowns and the complete data appendix.

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Topics:
Vendor selection, Procurement, Peer influence
Sectors:
Financial services, Public sector, Manufacturing